A
recent study by my friend, Nobel-recognized Canadian climatologist Andrew Weaver, created a tornado of spin supporting tar sands expansion. It’s even
drawn the enthusiasm of prominent climate skeptics, only too happy to
cherry-pick the study and misrepresent its results.
All
Weaver has done is state the obvious: there is far more coal buried around the
world than oil in the sands of Alberta. That’s nothing new. He’s provided some calculations
which show that burning all the world’s coal will cause far more global warming
than burning all the Athabaskan bitumen.
But
that doesn’t mean dirty tar sands oil is harmless. Far from it! Tar sands
boosters put forward the puffery that we need to transition from dirty coal to
cleaner oil. But our expansion of bitumen extraction isn’t in any way aimed at
reducing coal burning, it’s meant to feed expanded consumption and production.
It will be added to coal emissions, not subtracted from them. Coal extraction
itself requires large amounts of diesel fuel and other oil products to power
the digging machinery, transport trucks, trains, and ships. They are all part
of an interlinked system dependent on fossil fuels of all types. One also can’t
overlook that cleaner natural gas is used to produce dirtier tar sands oil used
to transport dirtiest coal to wherever it is burnt.
And
none of this considers the major effects on air and water quality, and massive deforestation,
another global warming driver.
The
International Energy Agency reports that to avoid unacceptable warming, we must
not build any new fossil fuel
infrastructure. That means no new coal plants, no new pipelines, and no
expansion of the tar sands. That tar sands are just a fraction of global carbon
reserves doesn’t let them off the hook. Treating their warming effect of .4 °C as too small for concern is the classic fallacy of composition, when you say “my part is small, it doesn’t matter in the big
picture.” But when that argument is used by every participant and you add them
together, the total is huge.
It’s
like saying “it doesn’t matter if I pee in your pool, my pee is only a tiny
percent of the water”. True, but if all swimmers take that attitude, pretty
soon you have more pee than pool! Each of us will only ever play a small part,
but unless most of us do our part, the problem will only worsen. As the Lorax
warns, “UNLESS someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to
get better. It’s not.”
The
solution? Immediately begin shifting our investment to clean, renewable energy,
while using conservation and efficiency to economically reduce our needs. More
on that in future columns.
Written for my Root Issues column in the Barrie Examiner, published as "Oil-sands emissions no different from coal"
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins is a director of the Ontario
School of Economic Science and Earthsharing Canada.
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